Tag Archive for 'wages'

The Easy Way to Fix Unemployment

I wasn’t surprised to see that Oregon’s unemployment numbers have steadily risen over the past five years. I’m even less surprised that it has reached a whopping 12.4% and is second in the country.

A lot of people will point to the recession as the chief culprit for high unemployment - not merely in Oregon, but around the world. And while it is true that businesses closing puts immediate pressure on unemployment figures, it doesn’t tell the whole story.

The state of Oregon, for example, decided to tie the minimum wage to rising prices in 2004. This was put to the voters as a way to “lift all boats” in a rising tide of wage-increase and general prosperity. It was argued that the poorest would benefit as employers were forced to pay them more and that the increased wages would stimulate the economy.

Oregon now has the second highest minimum wage and the second highest unemployment rate (behind Michigan). These two statistics are directly correlated. The minimum wage is not a rising tide that lifts all boats - rather it is a barrier over which one has to jump to get a job. Raising the minimum wage does not force employers to pay their employees more - rather, it forces them to fire anyone who is not productive enough to earn for them at least their worth in the new minimum wage. Any employer who continues to employ a worker who earns them less than the minimum wage will eventually go out of business (or at least he will have to subsidise this worker by taking from other employees, investments or profits).

If the federal and state governments want to see employment numbers go back up, they should abolish the minimum wage.

Of course the first fear is that existing workers would suddenly have their wages dropped drastically. But this is fundamentally false - as these employees are currently demonstrating that they can produce at greater than the minimum wage (otherwise they would not be employed). What would happen is that companies, even individuals, would suddenly be able to afford more help. This would increase their efficiency, their profits and money moving into the least productive members of society.

But governments have an interest as well - they would see their revenues rise as more employment and more income means more revenue.

At the very least, it would put downward pressure on unemployment - working against the increase that are being facilitated by the recession.

Please feel free to read my full analysis of the minimum wage:
The Minimum Wage I: Economic Analysis
The Minimum Wage II: Social Analysis

Links: French Protests

A million frenchmen protest

In particular, they called on him to raise low-end wages and unemployment benefits and to make it harder for business leaders to fire employees when profits sink.

I just thought I’d add a small commentary on this link. French protests have a reputation for being passionate (to put it nicely). The way that the French petition their governments is a model of activism.

However, the protests in France are distinctly different from those in the US. With some exceptions of course, US protests (such as this week’s Tea Party) are typically about protesting actions which the government has done that violate rights. French protests however have recently taken the position of petitioning the government to take rights away on their behalf.

U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar

Traffic cameras could help wipe out city’s projected deficit

Ron Paul’s insane cameo in the upcoming Bruno movie

The Pope Is Not Welcome in Jerusalem

The Inflection Is Near?

“When we look back, 2008 will be a momentous year in human history. Our children and grandchildren will ask us, ‘What was it like? What were you doing when it started to fall apart? What did you think? What did you do?’ Often in the middle of something momentous, we can’t see its significance. But for me there is no doubt: 2008 will be the marker — the year when ‘The Great Disruption’ began.”

The Minimum Wage II: Social Analysis

Yesterday, the minimum wage was looked at for its pure economics, and the following key points were made:

  • wages are just like any price, and that amount is determined by the same mechanisms that determine other prices
  • wages are not increased or decreased by employers being nice or mean
  • in general, a price on wages is reached by mutual consent, where both the buyer and seller of labor are making a profit
  • real wages are raised by increases in a laborer’s skills, education, experience, etc…
  • making a wage floor above the value of a laborer’s skills will eventually lead to his unemployment, lower wages for workers still employed and less profit for an employer - everyone loses.

In order to look at the social and human fallout from this obviously destructive practice, many people jump immediately to the laborer’s situation. This is the most identifiable (as most of us fit this category) but actually it is important to first see the broader effects.

The Very General Effects
On aggregate, if the price of labor rises and a laborer’s skills, education and experience do not, then either two things happen. For those who argue that the laborers on the margin just get increases with everyone else, then 1) the company is forced to pay more for a less profitable, or possibly non-profitable employee. The business will fail if they continue this, removing the production of some viable good or service from the market. Or, 2) they will simply fire workers or hire less - also removing services from the market.

These are the most unseen affects, but they are the most dramatic. In both instances there are less goods and services added to the economy. As population increases (increasing demand on these scarce items) this means a decreasing standard of living for everyone, or if the wage increases are much less, probably just less of an increase or a stagnation in living standards.

The Poorest Made Poorer
Now, for the workers, they have a very visible problem in this situation. The people who fetch a labor price below whatever the minimum wage are the more unskilled, uneducated, very young, very old, disabled, unexperienced, untalented or disadvantaged in society. Because their combination of abilities does not produce something worth more than minimum wage, they are effectively banned from legitimate work. Remember the minimum wage law does not say that employers shall raise wages above a certain price; it says that there shall be no work under a certain amount.

This is because raising the minimum wage is like raising a high-jump bar - it’s a barrier one has to get over in order to get a job. Every little bit that it is raised, removes more and more people (and again, the most disadvantaged) from the market. They have no other option but to seek a wage from an illegal market of some kind - usually crime, selling drugs, illegal work or just living on welfare or charity.

The Removal Of Opportunity
Even more sad is that these people, with the training and skills they could receive on the job, even most low wage jobs, would eventually gain enough skills and experience to demand real increases in their wages.

This has been seen with teenagers, who are usually worth less than minimum wages. In fact, many states and counties have made exceptions to minimum wage for teenagers (what terrible child labor exploiters!!) because of this effect. Otherwise, these kids come out of school when they are 18, and many have few skills to offer employers - or, they believe they don’t because they have been banned from first hand experience in the market.

The Humanitarian Myth
Minimum wages are widely popular because these things are either not considered, or even more deplorably - they are ignored. The most helpful thing to the poorest in skills among us is to allow them to work, gain training and make money, rather than sacrifice them to crime or illegal work so that we all can feel better about ourselves. If we truly care about workers on the margin, then we would stop baning them from work, and instead educate ourselves before we start passing laws.


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